Majority
OPINION OF THE COURT
The issue in this appeal is whether a plaintiff, in an action
On August 8, 1969, pursuant to a duly adopted resolution of its legislature, the County of Erie entered into a contract with Kenford Company, Inc. (Kenford) and Dome Stadium, Inc. (DSI) for the construction and operation of a domed stadium facility near the City of Buffalo. The contract provided that construction of the facility by the County would commence within 12 months of the contract date and that a mutually acceptable 40-year lease between the County and DSI for the operation of said facility would be negotiated by the parties and agreed upon within three months of the receipt by the County of preliminary plans, drawings and cost estimates. It was further provided that in the event a mutually acceptable lease could not be agreed upon within the three-month period, a separate management contract between the County and DSI, as appended to the basic agreement, would be executed by the parties, providing for the operation of the stadium facility by DSI for a period of 20 years from the completion of the stadium and its availability for use.
Although strenuous and extensive negotiations followed, the parties never agreed upon the terms of a lease, nor did construction of a domed facility begin within the one-year period or at any time thereafter. A breach of the contract thus occurred and this action was commenced in June 1971 by Kenford and DSI.
Prolonged and extensive pretrial and preliminary proceedings transpired throughout the next 10 years, culminating with the entry of an order which affirmed the grant of summary judgment against the County on the issue of liability and directed a trial limited to the issue of damages (Kenford Co. v County of Erie, 88 AD2d 758 , lv dismissed 58 NY2d 689 ). The ensuing trial ended some nine months later with a multimillion dollar jury verdict in plaintiffs’ favor. An appeal to the Appellate Division resulted in a modification of the judgment. That court reversed portions of the judgment awarding damages for loss of profits and for certain out-of-pocket expenses incurred, and directed a new trial upon other issues (Kenford Co. v County of Erie, 108 AD2d 132 ). On appeal to this court, we are concerned only with that portion
Loss of future profits as damages for breach of contract have been permitted in New York under long-established and precise rules of law. First, it must be demonstrated with certainty that such damages have been caused by the breach and, second, the alleged loss must be capable of proof with reasonable certainty. In other words, the damages may not be merely speculative, possible or imaginary, but must be reasonably certain and directly traceable to the breach, not remote or the result of other intervening causes (Wakeman v Wheeler & Wilson Mfg. Co., 101 NY 205 ). In addition, there must be a showing that the particular damages were fairly within the contemplation of the parties to the contract at the time it was made (Witherbee v Meyer, 155 NY 446 ). If it is a new business seeking to recover for loss of future profits, a stricter standard is imposed for the obvious reason that there does not exist a reasonable basis of experience upon which to estimate lost profits with the requisite degree of reasonable certainty (Cramer v Grand Rapids Show Case Co., 223 NY 63 ; 25 CJS, Damages, § 42 [b]).
These rules must be applied to the proof presented by DSI in this case. We note the procedure for computing damages selected by DSI was in accord with contemporary economic theory and was presented through the testimony of recognized experts. Such a procedure has been accepted in this State and many other jurisdictions (see, De Long v County of Erie, 60 NY2d 296 ). DSI’s economic analysis employed historical data, obtained from the operation of other domed stadiums and related facilities throughout the country, which was then applied to the results of a comprehensive study of the marketing prospects for the proposed facility in the Buffalo area. The quantity of proof is massive and, unquestionably, represents business and industry’s most advanced and sophisticated
The reason for this conclusion is twofold. Initially, the proof does not satisfy the requirement that liability for loss of profits over a 20-year period was in the contemplation of the parties at the time of the execution of the basic contract or at the time of its breach (see, Chapman v Fargo, 223 NY 32 ; 36 NY Jur 2d, Damages, §§39, 40, at 66-70). Indeed, the provisions in the contract providing remedy for a default do not suggest or provide for such a heavy responsibility on the part of the County. In the absence of any provision for such an eventuality, the commonsense rule to apply is to consider what the parties would have concluded had they considered the subject. The evidence here fails to demonstrate that liability for loss of profits over the length of the contract would have been in the contemplation of the parties at the relevant times.
Next, we note that despite the massive quantity of expert proof submitted by DSI, the ultimate conclusions are still projections, and as employed in the present day commercial world, subject to adjustment and modification. We of course recognize that any projection cannot be absolute, nor is there any such requirement, but it is axiomatic that the degree of certainty is dependent upon known or unknown factors which form the basis of the ultimate conclusion. Here, the foundations upon which the economic model was created undermine the certainty of the projections. DSI assumed that the facility was completed, available for use and successfully operated by it for 20 years, providing professional sporting events and other forms of entertainment, as well as hosting meetings, conventions and related commercial gatherings. At the time of the breach, there was only one other facility in this country to use as a basis of comparison, the Astrodome in Houston. Quite simply, the multitude of assumptions required to establish projections of profitability over the life of this contract require speculation and conjecture, making it beyond the capability of even the most sophisticated procedures to satisfy the legal requirements of proof with reasonable certainty.
The economic facts of life, the whim of the general public
Accordingly, that portion of the order of the Appellate Division being appealed from should be affirmed.
Chief Judge Wachtler and Judges Meyer, Alexander, Titone and Kane[1] concur in Per Curiam opinion; Judges Simons, Kaye and Hancock, Jr., taking no part.
Order insofar as appealed from affirmed, with costs.
* Designated pursuant to NY Constitution, article VI, § 2.
Cases cited
- Cohen v. Hallmark Cards, Inc. 45 NY2d 493 p. 258
- Tripoli v. Tripoli 83 AD2d 764 p. 258
- Boyle v. Gretch 57 AD2d 1047 p. 258
- Kimberly-Clark Corp. v. Power Authority 35 AD2d 330 p. 258
- Dobess Realty Corp. v. City of New York 79 AD2d 348 p. 258
- Di Bernardo v. Gunneson 65 AD2d 828 p. 258
- DeLong v. County of Erie 89 AD2d 376 p. 258
- De Long v. County of Erie 60 NY2d 296 p. 258, p. 261
- Wakeman v. Wheeler & Wilson Manufacturing Co. 101 NY 205 p. 258, p. 259, p. 261
- Spitz v. Lesser 302 NY 490 p. 258
- Broadway Photoplay Co. v. World Film Corp. 225 NY 104 p. 258, p. 263
- Bernstein v. Meech 130 NY 354 p. 258
- Moss v. Tompkins 69 Hun 288 p. 258
- Department of Social Services v. West Height Manor, Inc. 429 US 987 p. 259, p. 263
- Cramer v. Grand Rapids Show Case Co. 223 NY 63 p. 259, p. 261, p. 263
- Banker's Trust Co. v. Steenburn 95 Misc 2d 967 p. 259
- Manniello v. Dea 92 AD2d 426 p. 259
- Sam & Mary Housing Corp. v. Jo/Sal Market Corp. 121 Misc 2d 434 p. 259
- Sam & Mary Housing Corp. v. Jo/Sal Market Corp. 100 AD2d 901 p. 259
- Sam & Mary Housing Corp. v. Jo/Sal Market Corp. 62 NY2d 941 p. 259
- Hughes v. Nationwide Mutual Insurance 98 Misc 2d 667 p. 259
- Palmer v. Connecticut Railway & Lighting Co. 311 US 544 p. 259
- Blum v. Fresh Grown Preserve Corp. 292 NY 241 p. 259
- Ferro v. Bersani 78 AD2d 1010 p. 259
- Ferro v. Bersani 59 NY2d 899 p. 259
- Kulaga v. State 37 AD2d 58 p. 259
- Kulaga v. State 31 NY2d 756 p. 259
- Murphy v. Erie County 28 NY2d 80 p. 259
- Schuylkill Fuel Corp. v. B. & C. Nieberg Realty Corp. 250 NY 304 p. 259
- Gilberg v. Barbieri 53 NY2d 285 p. 259
- Gramatan Home Investors Corp. v. Lopez 46 NY2d 481 p. 259
- Griffen v. Keese 187 NY 454 p. 259
- Kenford Co. v. County of Erie 108 AD2d 132 p. 260
- Witherbee v. Meyer 155 NY 446 p. 261
- Chapman v. Fargo 223 NY 32 p. 262